It's not the messaging, stupid

Some delusional Democrat hacks believe their problem was "messaging." If only Kamala had been more effective at messaging, they say....

The problem wasn't the messaging, it was the message. They told voters, "We know better than you. You don't need to know the details, you just need to keep voting for us because you are a member of [insert name of disadvantaged group here]. Just ignore the 15 million illegal aliens running around, destroying state and local budgets. Forget our irresponsible spending that spiked inflation to 9%. Forget about our attacks on the Constitution, whether it be free speech, an independent judiciary, or the electoral college. Just vote for Kamala because Oprah told you to."

Trump will no doubt get bogged down in stupid controversies that don't matter because that is what he does, but I hope that along the way he repeals the electric vehicle mandate and countless other regulations that hamper our economy. I hope Congress extends the 2017 tax cuts that helped EVERYONE. I also hope (but do not expect) Congress to make some effort to bring down the spending. Trump is far from perfect, but he should be better than the dimwit Democrats who have spent the past 50 years dividing people into identity groups and pitting them against each other.

As I mentioned in a previous post, I voted Libertarian for president. It is discouraging that in Montana, the Libertarian Chase Oliver received fewer votes than RFK, Jr. who had dropped out of the race and endorsed Trump. I realize that as a Libertarian for the past 40+ years I'm tilting at windmills, but I believe I'm right and 99% of the voting public is wrong. At this point, the populist Republicans are a bit better than the communist Democrats, so I'll take what I can get.

And P'Nut and Fred have been avenged.

Avenge Me!

P'Nut and Fred were executed by New York State storm troopers last week.

Decision 2024

Here's my much-anticipated presidential endorsement for 2024: Libertarian Chase Oliver. It will make no difference in the grand scheme of things as Trump is expected to win Montana, and between the two major party candidates I hope he is the one who wins. Even though he is such an asshole. I can't find the exact quote, but Nikki Haley (who I wrote in on the primary ballot) said she does not agree with Trump 100% of the time, but she agrees with Harris on almost nothing. Leaving personalities aside, I will never vote for another Democrat as long as their party is actively working to destroy the United States from within. That may be a strong statement, but bankrolling 15 million illegal aliens isn't somthing anyone voted for in 2020. The Biden/Harris policy from Day 1 was to allow it (enable it) to happen. Trump is an asshole; Harris is an anti-American traitor.

I'm voting for the Libertarian because I agree with him on about 95% of what he says. Trump is about 80%, and Harris is 0%. If everyone keeps voting for the two major parties just because they are the two major parties, nothing will ever change. I've been tilting at this windmill for more than 40 years now, and it probably will not change in my lifetime. Some of my relatives say I am throwing away my vote. If the election were between Hitler and Mao, with Mother Teresa as the third party candidate, would I waste my vote by going for the saint instead of one of the dictators? Liberals say Trump is a fascist, and conservatives say Harris is a communist, so maybe that is not a ridiculous example. I don't know if Oliver is Mother Teresa, but he's got my vote.

Never Democrat

The Democrat Party believes anyone who opposes their authoritarian power grab is a Trumper. I am not a Trumper. Trump is an idiot. Biden is an idiot. Both things can be (and are) true. American voters are bigger idiots for forcing us to choose between these two demented old men.

Both major parties have let us down, but only one of the parties is an existential threat to our way of life. The Marxist/Socialist Party more commonly known as the Democrats has finally gone too far. During his long and controversial career, Trump has probably done something that should have been prosecuted. But convicting him of something else on that basis is now how our justice system is supposed to work. The Democrat Party manipulated this case against Trump at every level, up to and including the judge and his various reversable decisions. But it doesn't matter to the Democrats if this case gets overturned on appeal, as long as that happens after the election.

I'm probably still not going to vote for Trump this fall. On our recent primary ballot, I wrote in Nikki Haley's name. But I will never, never, never vote for another Democrat at any level due to the ridiculous transformation they have gone through the past 16 years, and the past four years in particular. Bidenflation and Freeloadernomics are just two aspects of their delusional, destructive governance. The Republicans are far from perfect, but they are the only alternative we are allowed to have. That is, at least until the authoritarian takeover by the Democrats is complete, after they destroy democracy in order to save it. This country is becoming the rich man's version of Cuba.

Creepy creepy creepy

Amazon has a shopping suggestion for me, accessories for my 2017 F-150. How do they know what I drive? I have never bought anything from them relating to my vehicle. GFY Bezos. I know he's not CEO any more but I don't know who is.

No Irish Need Apply

I came across this image of the house my family lived in in 1960 when I was a tot. It was on the edge of Pierre, SD, and just visible to the right is empty land that extends for hundreds of miles. As you can see, the driveway isn't paved, and I don't see anyone being forced to pick cotton in the yard. Six people lived in that house and there was one bathroom. But some people tell us that our family is privileged and should pay reparations to them based solely on the color of their skin and what other people who are long dead did to their ancestors. The African people of 200 years ago do not have a monopoly on being victims of mistreatment. As someone with an Irish name, I know what the English did 200 years ago to my ancestors, but I'm not looking for a handout.

Mando bad

I have never been a big fan of Star Wars. I remember wondering after watching the first three movies how the Empire managed to conquer its empire with stormtroopers who couldn't hit the broad side of a barn with their blasters. I have watched bits and pieces of the other six movies in the main story line, but they just never held my attention. Recently my cable company, Spectrum, which I truly truly hate, notified us we would henceforth get Disney+ for no additional charge (with commercials). OK, something new for the hundreds of dollars a month I give to this loathsome monopoly.

I decided to check out The Mandalorian and see what all the fuss was about that. I have made it into season 3 (diverting into The Book of Boba Fett which is really season 2.5) and have a few observations:

• Despite the cartoonish stormtroopers still being unable to hit the broad side of a barn, the series is incredibly violent. The Mandalorian gets his ass kicked on a regular basis, but for some reason no one simply shoots him. Or if they do shoot him, the rounds bounce off his armor. Meanwhile the stormtroopers are dropping like flies, one shot one kill. I gave up on the TV series Fargo because of the body count, and there are some episodes of the Mandalorian that rival Fargo's carnage.
• How disgusting is the inside of that helmet if he never takes it off? I wear a CPAP mask every night. It needs to be cleaned regularly.
• I kept wondering why members of this space-faring society lived and dressed like camel herders until the scene shifted first to a Ringworld and later to the New Republic capital. The CGI (or whatever they call it now) is seamless and often quite incredible. The transformation of Mark Hamill into a younger version of himself also is rather dazzling. But I don't understand how young Mark Hamill can look real but Katee Sackhoff looks fake. It is 15 years since Battlestar Galactica ended so maybe I'm influenced by how Starbuck looked back then.
• Once again, we have a spacefaring society that appears ignorant of basic physical security measures. It is harder to get into a basketball arena in our universe than it is to get onto a military starship in their universe.
• As with most action-adventure scifi series (Stargate SG-1 comes to mind), this show has devolved into "someone is held hostage and we have to free him/her/they." And there are fight scenes. The writing is formulaic and faithful to Star Wars canon.

Since I got new eyes in 2018, I've been reading about a hundred books a year, and most of them are scifi. Speaking of Ringworld, in 2019 I re-read the book by that name. (Yes, I keep track.) The best book I have read recently is "Rendezvous with Rama" by Arthur C. Clarke. (I also read the sequels, but alas, they were co-written by a fellow named Gentry Lee and don't measure up to the original.) I hate to sound like a book snob, but there are hundreds more good scifi books than good scifi movies/TV series. The producers of the visual medium are hostage to special effects. The special effects in Mandalorian are often spectacular, and the writing often sucks.

Making it up as we go along

There are reports that Montana State is chipping in $3,000 to help the University of Montana band travel to Frisco, TX to support its football team in the FCS national championship game. As a resident of Montana and an alumnus of the other school in the game, South Dakota State, I understand the immensity of this gesture. Sometimes announcers pump up the hype by exclaiming, "They plain don't like each other." In this case, it is true: The Cats (Montana State) and the Griz (Montana) fans plain do not like each other. But apparently the bands get along.

Anyway, I was reading the ESPN report on this and came away with the impression that the writer, David Hale, does not have an equal understanding of the situation. He writes:

"The two rivals, who meet annually in the Cat-Grizz game, have played 122 times dating back to 1897 -- two years before Montana officially became a state -- with the Grizzlies holding a 74-42-5 edge in the series.

"Montana defeated North Dakota State 31-29 in double overtime on Dec. 16 to secure a trip to the FCS championship game against South Dakota State. It is Montana's third trip to the FCS (formerly I-AA) championship game. The Grizzlies won both of their prior appearances, in 1995 and 2001."

The game is referred to as the 'Brawl of the Wild' not the 'Cat-Grizz game,' which is more of an omission than an error, but there are three major errors in those two short paragraphs. In reverse order:

• Montana has been to the championship game seven times, not two. They won those two in the years mentioned, 1995 and 2001, but also lost in 1996, 2000, 2004, 2008 and 2009.
• The series does date to 1897, but that's eight years AFTER Montana became a state in 1889.
• It's Griz, not Grizz. It's in huge letters on the side of the helmet (see below). Mr. Hale, a graduate of Delaware, apparently didn't notice this when the Griz trounced his alma mater 49-19 on December 2 of this year. But what do you expect from a Delaware graduate?

When I was in journalism school at South Dakota State, making one factual error in an assignment would be a failing grade. Old man done yelling at clouds, go on about your business.

Choices

There have been articles in recent days from several writers saying that the Celebration Bowl is a better experience than the Football Championship Subdivision (FCS) playoffs.

The FCS is the 128 or so Division 1 football teams that do not participate in the bowl system, with one caveat. The Southwestern Athletic Conference (SWAC) and Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference (MEAC) opt out of sending their conference champions to the 24-team FCS playoffs in favor of playing in the Celebration Bowl. Schools in those conferences are referred to as Historically Black Colleges and Universities (HBCU).

The Celebration Bowl drew over 40,000 fans to Atlanta this year, and netted the two conferences $1 million each. In contrast, no FCS stadium is large enough to hold that many fans, and it is not a financial bonanza for teams involved.

Jim Trotter of the Athletic eloquently lays out the almost religious reasoning in favor of the Celebration Bowl, the Black College Football National Championship, without prefacing it by slamming the FCS playoffs. But he still concludes, "Celebration Bowl or FCS playoffs? Do you really need to ask?"

"There's no comparison," FAMU head coach Willie Simmons told Gerald Thomas III of the Tallahassee Democrat. "The experience that the guys get at the bowl, playing on national television in an NFL stadium - it's an experience you can't buy. And once the check clears, that'll be more reasons why people feel the Celebration Bowl is the better option."

OK, if that is what you prefer, fine. But some people want it both ways. They want to play in their bubble in Atlanta but still be presumed to be FCS elite. Thomas quotes former FAMU Coach Rudy Hubbard saying, "I believe Willie and Florida A&M could go into [the FCS playoffs] and win that thing, too."

We have a team we can use to help us figure out whether that is remotely true. North Carolina Central won last year's Celebration Bowl and was favored to represent the MEAC again, but Howard pulled an upset and took that slot. Since they didn't have anything else to do, NCC was selected as an at-large team in the FCS playoffs and promptly got housed by Richmond 49-27. Richmond then got housed by Albany 41-13. Albany beat Idaho but then got epically HOUSED by South Dakota State 59-0. Using the transitive properties of comparative scores, FCS #1 South Dakota State is 109 points better than NCC. Coming back to the real world, which is dominated by degenerate gamblers, the Sagarin ratings indicate SDSU would be a 34-point favorite over NCC, 31 over FAMU, and 39 over Howard.

Simmons says, "In the FCS playoffs, you're going to have to travel to someone else's place; it's going to be cold and outside. It's Thanksgiving weekend." Except that's not true if you don't belong to a crap conference. If you are seeded, you don't have to play Thanksgiving weekend and you play the next weekend at home. (Also, four northern teams that hosted playoff games have domes, but whatever.)

Stan Becton of NCAA.com wrote an article laying out the case that FAMU should be rated as high as #3 when the final polls come out, behind SDSU and the Montana Griz. One of his examples is they should be ranked ahead of Montana State because the Bobcats didn't make it out of the 2nd round of the playoffs. FAMU didn't make it out of the 2nd round either since they chose not to participate at all!

Becton also knocks Albany for losing 59-0 to SDSU. But FAMU didn't drag their asses onto an airplane and go play SDSU after a long trip the previous week to Idaho, so what is the comparison? FAMU's only loss was to FBS South Florida, which was a mediocre 6-6. FAMU is wise enough not to schedule any MVFC or Big Sky opponents, so all we can go by besides subjective opinions is the objective ratings. Sagarin suggests an appropriate FCS rating for FAMU would be #46 and they would be a 21-point underdog to Montana State, 10-point underdog to Albany. Other rating services are more generous, but none place FAMU higher than 9th.

Make your choice. If your conference chooses to play in the Celebration Bowl, take your million dollars and be quiet. The best conferences in FCS are the Missouri Valley, the Big Sky, and the Coastal. The MEAC and the SWAC are the third and fourth WORST. If you want to prove otherwise, stop talking and put your best teams in the tournament.

Update: Voters were not convinced by Becton's arguments. In the two final polls, FAMU was #10 and #11. Here's your (non-)Participation Trophy.

College football rant

The University of Delaware is transitioning its football team from the Football Championship Subdivision (FCS) to the Football Bowl Subdivision (FBS). As an alumnus of two of the schools seeded high in the FCS playoffs, #1 South Dakota State and #3 University of South Dakota, I am taking notice of the Blue Hens and others abandoning FCS for a supposedly-higher level of competition. But how long will it be before the biggest boys in the FBS, such as Alabama and Ohio State, will get fed up with all these silly little teams calling themselves FBS? Some (i.e. pundits on the internet) believe the big schools will set up a new Super-FBS with the 64 or so top college football programs, leaving about 70 programs in limbo.

I'm not going to ponder (yet) whether these 70 silly teams plus the current 127 FCS teams will band together, or whether there will be three Division 1 subdivisions. First things first, what will be the structure of the new Super-FBS? Let's say there will be four conferences divided into eight divisions with eight teams each, with the current Big 10, Big 12, SEC and ACC providing most of those members. They could adopt an NFL-style schedule - seven games in division, two rotating games against teams in the opposite division of the same conference, two games against teams with a similar record in another conference (rotating each year), and one silly team tuneup game. The playoffs would be 16 teams, two teams from each division cross-seeded against other conferences. (No conference championship games.)

Throw a bone to the next 16 teams and the eight first-round playoff losers to play traditional bowls. That would only involve 24 teams versus the current 82, so that would take some figuring out whether the Famous Toastery Bowl (Dec. 18 this year in Charlotte) would take teams from the next level down or just go away.

Now this is the fun part. Borrowing from English soccer, the Super-FBS team that has the worst record over four years gets relegated. Let's say Minnesota is that team. They would get sent down to the lower level and South Dakota State could be promoted to replace them in the Big 10. According to the current Sagarin ratings which includes all Division 1 teams, Minnesota is #69 and South Dakota State is #29. According to the Sagarin formula, SDSU would be a 9-point favorite over the Goofers on a neutral field. Actually, Vanderbilt is probably the current worst so-called Power 5 team (and would be a 19-point underdog to the Jackrabbits), but I like tweaking Minnesota.

It's a pipe dream, I admit it. All the mediocre teams in the Big 10 and other major conferences would never agree to that. So, let's get back to current FCS schools moving up to FBS. On the Fargo podcast I often listen to, the participants think NDSU should just move up, even if it is to a crap conference like C-USA. Just get your foot in the door and figure it out from there. Looking back, it almost makes sense. In their transition from D2 to D1, NDSU and SDSU were part of the patchwork Great West, a crap conference if there ever was one, but one which served a purpose. Four years later in 2008, they were able to get into the Missouri Valley Football Conference. USD joined the MVFC in 2012, and UND moved from the Big Sky in 2020. NDSU and SDSU have come to dominate the conference, and the other two Dakotas are playoff teams this year. Just get your foot in the door, endure a few years of chaos, and it will all work out in the end, according to the theory. I hope whatever they do, the four Dakotas do it at the same time so we don't have this ridiculous situation where they don't play each other for 10 years.

I also want to tweak the flagship university of a state where I used to live, Massachusetts. UMass was strong in FCS, winning the title in 1998, and transitioning "up" about 10 years ago. UMass is currently 3-9, one of their better records in recent years, and does not belong to a football conference. Their current Saragin rating is #189, second-worst in FBS to Kent State. South Dakota State would be a neutral field 32.5-point favorite. Tell me whether being a bad independent FBS team was a good move for UMass. At the very least, you need a conference, even if it is crap conference like C-USA.

I think eventually there will be three subdivisions, and all will have their own postseason. The Power 64 will be #1, the bottom of the current FCS will be #3, and the question is what #2 in the middle will look like. Delaware will probably be back competing with the top of the current FCS in 10 years.

Update: The final Sagarin ratings put FCS Champion South Dakota State at #18, ahead of every G5 team and the majority of P5/P4 teams. From this part of the country, Wisconsin was #43, Nebraska was #60, and Minnesota was #77. And UMass finally did get a conference, the MAC. It's not really a geographic fit, and they are going to be one of the worst teams in the conference for a while, but they are now on the path to qualifying for a meaningless FBS bowl.